What Will Probably Win the Best Film at the 2018 Oscars?

When it comes to the 2018 Oscars for Best Picture there are some years when everyone is pretty certain which film is going to win and they turn out to be right. There are other times when people are sure a film is going to win but then the award is given to another film entirely. This year the favorite seems to be changing all the time but the current front runner is actually quite surprising. All of the nominees are listed below and are ranked by how likely it is that they will win.

Oscars 2018 Best Film nominees who could make history this year. The Shape of Water, Dunkirk and Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri were the most nominated films overall, with 13, 8 and 7 nominations respectively, but that doesn’t necessarily mean they’ll win the biggest prizes of the night, take a look at below.

Phantom Thread

This was one of the most surprising inclusions in the list of nominees and as a result it is considered to be a complete outsider. It has not received a Best Picture nomination in any of the other awards shows that have taken place so far. Films that star Daniel Day-Lewis generally tend to do quite well at the Oscars and there is a chance that he could win the Best Actor award. However, the likelihood of the film winning Best Picture is very low and this is why it is the first film mentioned in this list.

Darkest Hour

All of the focus on Darkest Hour has been about Gary Oldman’s performance as Winston Churchill. For this reason it is fairly unlikely that it will win the Oscar for Best Film. It has not yet won any awards for anything else than the acting and this is a trend that is probably going to contnue at the Oscars. There is also a possibility that it might win the award for Best Makeup and Hairstyling. However, the award for Best Picture may just be a step too far for this film considering the competition that it has.

Dunkirk

Dunkirk has been nominated for Best Film but it is more likely that it will win the award in one of the technical categories that it has been nominated in. It is the second most nominated film at this year’s awards but a lot of these nominations are in more technical categories. It was nominated for Best Film Editing which is an award that the winner of Best Picture also usually wins. Overall, Dunkirk is probably not going to walk away from the Oscars empty handed but it is not very likely that the Best Picture award will be in this collection.

The Post

The Post should be much higher on this last simply because it was directed by Stephen Spielberg and stars Tom Hanks and Meryl Streep in a legal drama about The Washington Post defending its publication of the Pentagon Papers. However, it has not featured heavily in any of the previous award ceremonies that have taken place this year. It did not win anything at the Golden Globes where it was expected to do quite well. It may not win anything at the Oscars either as it is only nominated for Best Picture and Best Actress, and Frances McDormand is the clear favorite in that category.

Call Me By Your Name

At the moment this romantic drama is falling right in the middle of the pack of potential winners. It has received a lot of nominations at the other ceremonies although it has really won anything as of yet. It cannot be said for certain that it definitely won’t win but there are other films which are stronger contenders. The film that wins Best Picture will usually also will win the Best Director or Best Film Editing or in some cases both. However, this film is not even nominated in either of these categories.

Get Out

The quality of Get Out is immediately made obvious by the fact that horror films are almost never nominated for Best Picture. However, there is far more to this film than just the horror aspect and so it can not completely be discounted as a potential winner. There are a number of social issues that are highlighted by the film and this has people still talking about the film almost a year since it was released. This is the kind of excitement that could just lead to a film winning the Best Picture award although this is probably not going to happen in this case.

Lady Bird

Lady Bird is a very relevant movie at the moment because of the Me Too and Time’s Up campaigns that are running at the moment. All of the major stars of the movie are female and it was also directed by a woman. There was some degree of outcry when Greta Gerwig was overlooked for a Best Director nomination at the Golden Globes. This has not happened at the Oscars and Gerwig is nominated and there have been many occasions when the winner of Best Director goes on to win Best Picture.

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

This film was once the frontrunner but it has become embroiled in the race row that has overshadowed the Oscars in the last few years. There has been some backlash over the fact that the issues of a white woman take precedence over abuse of black people by police officers. It has won the Best Picture award at the Golden Globes and the Screen Actors Guild Awards. Up until a few weeks ago it would have been a dead cert to win the award but now it may just be pipped to the post by the last movie on the list.

The Shape Of Water

There are several things about this film that make it very likely that it will win Best Picture. The Shape of Water is the most utterly ravishing film of the year. It is the most nominated film at the awards with 13 nominations and so it was only one nomination away from equaling the record held by All About Eve, Titanic and La La Land. Although it is yet to win a major award it has won the Critics Choice Award and the PGA. It is nominated for Best Director and Best Film Editing and all three of these awards usually go hand in hand. This is the film that has come out of nowhere and taken everyone by surprise and this surprise could continue if it really does win.

Oscars – Academy Awards

The Academy Awards are awarded every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) also name is the Oscars. The 2018 Oscars ceremony is the 90th Academy Awards will host by Jimmy Kimmel.  There are currently 24 awards that are given out at each artistic and technical merit ceremony. There is a voting process within the Academy that determines who the winner is in each category. The golden statue that the winners receive is called the Academy Award of Merit but it is nicknamed Oscar which is why the ceremony is commonly referred to as the Oscars. This statue was designed by George Stanley and the same design has been used since the first ceremony which was held in 1929 and the Hollywood Roosevelt Hotel.

oscars

The ceremony was first shown on television in 1953, although it had been broadcast on the radio since 1930. Today it is viewed in more than two hundred countries all around the world and can also be streamed live online. It is one of the oldest awards ceremonies in the world and has also been the inspiration for a number of other awards. This includes some other famous ceremonies such as the Emmy Awards and the Grammy Awards.

The Academy Awards that were held in 2017 were the 89th Awards. Including the awards that were given at this ceremony, a total of 3048 Oscars have been awarded since the time that the Awards began.

History

The first Academy Awards were held at the Hollywood Roosevelt Hotel in May 1929 and it was a private dinner. Only 270 people were invited and they had to purchase a ticket for $5. The ceremony only lasted for fifteen minutes and a total of fifteen awards were presented. All the winners received an Oscar statuette.

The media were aware of the winners three months before the ceremony took place. From 1930 this changed so that they only received the results for publication at 11:00 pm on the night that the awards took place. In 1940 the Los Angeles Time published the names of the winners before the ceremony had taken place. This has meant that since 1941 all the winning names are placed into a sealed envelope which is opened by the person presenting the award.

Institutions

The first winner of an Academy Award was Emil Jannings who received Best Actor for The Way of All Flesh and The Last Command. He was given his award before the ceremony as he had to return to Europe. When the awards first began the Best Actor and Actress award were given for all films that they had starred in during the qualifying period. This changed after the fourth ceremony when the awards were given for a specific performance. The eligibility period was two years for the first six ceremonies before it changed to one year.

The award for Best Foreign Language Film was introduced in 1957 which was the 29th ceremony. Before this time they had been included in the Special Achievement Award category.

The last new award to be introduced was the Best Animated Feature. This was first presented at the 74th Academy Awards in 2002.

There are a number of traditions that are associated with the Oscars that still take place today. The award for Best Actor has always been presented by an actress, with an actor presenting the Best Actress award. The award for Best Picture is always the last award to be presented and this has been the case since 1973.

Oscar Statuette

There are nine honorary awards which can be granted by the Academy. These awards are non competitive and not all of them will be awarded every year. The winners of these awards will not always receive an Oscar statuette, although there are some exceptions to this rule.

Academy Award of Merit

All winners of awards that are considered to be Academy Awards Of Merit will be presented with an Oscar statuette. The statue if made of bronze and is gold plated. It weighs 8.5 lb and is 13.5 inches tall. The statue is made in the Art Deco style and portrays a knight holding a sword. The knight is standing on a reel of film with five spokes which represent actors, writers, directors, producers and technicians. These were the five original branches of the Academy.

Cedric Gibbons designed the Oscar statuette and it was then sculpted by George Stanley. The Mexican actor Emilio Fernandez is widely thought to have been the model for the statuette. The Oscars have always been made from metal apart from three years during World War Two when they were made from plaster due to the shortage of metal. When the war was over the winners that had received a plaster award were able to swap them for one that was made on metal. Today fifty statues are ordered for each ceremony and these take approximately three months to make.

Naming

There are two main stories regarding how the statues came to be nicknamed Oscar although it is not known which story, if any, is actually true. Bette Davis was a president of the Academy and her biography claims that the statue was named by her in honor of her husband Harmon Oscar Nelson. Another story credits Margaret Herrick, the Executive Secretary of the Academy, with claiming that the statue reminded her of her cousin Oscar Pierce and that the name just stuck. One of the earliest references to the name Oscar was made by Walt Disney when he thanked the Academy for his Oscar in his acceptance speech. The statue was officially named Oscar by the Academy in 1939.

Current categories

Best Picture: since 1928

Best Director: since 1928

Best Actor in a Leading Role: since 1928

Best Actor in a Supporting Role: since 1936

Best Actress in a Leading Role: since 1928

Best Actress in a Supporting Role: since 1936

Best Animated Feature: since 2001

Best Animated Short Film: since 1931

Best Cinematography: since 1928

Best Costume Design: since 1948

Best Documentary Feature: since 1943

Best Documentary Short Subject: since 1941

Best Film Editing: since 1934

Best Foreign Language Film: since 1947

Best Live Action Short Film: since 1931

Best Makeup and Hairstyling: since 1981

Best Original Score: since 1934

Best Original Song: since 1934

Best Production Design: since 1928

Best Sound Editing: since 1963

Best Sound Mixing: since 1930

Best Visual Effects: since 1939

Best Adapted Screenplay: since 1928

Best Original Screenplay: since 1940

Awards Ceremonies

The Academy Awards are the culmination of the films award season. The season will usually begin in November and ends in late February or early March, depending on when the Oscars is held. Awards at the ceremony will be granted for films that were released in the previous calendar year. The announcement of the nominations is only made six weeks before the ceremony takes place.

The Oscars is known as much for its fashion and glamour as it is for the awards. While men will commonly wear tuxedos and black tie clothing, women will appear in creations by some of the most famous designers in the world. Attendees that arrive at the event will have to walk along the red carpet in order to get to the venue.

Oscars 2018 live air on ABC TV.

The Academy Awards are broadcast live across all time zones in the United States and they are the only major awards ceremony to do this. They also broadcast live in Canada and the United Kingdom. In countries where the time difference makes it difficult to watch live, catch-up TV services are often used to watch the ceremony after it has taken place.